Houston Texans 2025 Fantasy Football Projections
Updated: Saturday, August 30, 2025Our 2025 fantasy football projections below are for the Houston Texans.
Projected fantasy points are based on half-PPR scoring.
MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams
Embed from Getty ImagesQUARTERBACKS
| Player | Att. | Comp. | Yards | TD | INT | Rush | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 539.7 | 343.8 | 3993.8 | 23.48 | 8.64 | 40.9 | 180 | 1.35 | 262.49 |
| Davis Mills | 34.4 | 21.5 | 230.5 | 1.27 | 0.89 | 4.4 | 13.6 | 0.16 | 14.84 |
| QB Totals | 574.1 | 365.3 | 4224.3 | 24.75 | 9.53 | 45.3 | 193.6 | 1.51 | 277.33 |
C.J. Stroud: What a difference a year made, as Stroud finished his 2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year campaign as fantasy's QB8 in points per game and as the QB26 in 2024. The coaching staff did him no favors and Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell ended the year on IR with Nico Collins also missing five games in 2024. With the additions of Christian Kirk in free agency and Iowa State rookies Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel in the draft and a new offensive coaching staff in place, there is some optimism for Stroud to rebound in 2025 although the offensive line remains an issue.
RUNNING BACKS
| Player | Att. | Yards | TD | Rec. | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 154.9 | 681.6 | 4.96 | 12.2 | 94.8 | 0.5 | 116.5 |
| Joe Mixon | 99.6 | 408.4 | 3.29 | 17.1 | 129.8 | 0.7 | 86.31 |
| Woody Marks | 57.6 | 244.8 | 1.58 | 28.8 | 212.8 | 1.1 | 76.24 |
| Dameon Pierce | 73 | 306.6 | 1.46 | 4.1 | 26.3 | 0.1 | 44.7 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 8.9 | 34.7 | 0.21 | 12.9 | 98.9 | 0.4 | 23.47 |
| British Brooks | 1.1 | 4.5 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 |
| RB Totals | 395.1 | 1680.6 | 11.52 | 75.1 | 562.6 | 2.8 | 347.79 |
Nick Chubb: Chubb has been one of my favorite players in the NFL, and he's had terrible luck with knee injuries throughout his career. He's played only 10 games over the past two seasons combined and 2024 was his first season to average fewer than 5.0 YPC. While the injuries have taken a toll and he turns 30 in December, Chubb has the ability to handle large workloads and should be able to perform (at least) as efficiently as Mixon (career 4.1 YPC) for as long as he's out. That said, he'll compete with Dameon Pierce for early-down touches.
Joe Mixon: Perhaps he'll become a recommended waiver-wire addition, but Mixon should be on your do-not-draft list at this point. There is at least a chance (and potentially the most likely scenario) that he misses all of 2025. Mixon will begin the season on the NFI list, which requires him to miss at least four games, but GM Nick Caserio responded with a "we'll see" when asked about Mixon appearing at all this season.
Woody Marks: Especially given the uncertainty around Mixon, Marks is easy click near the end of drafts. He's especially good as a receiver and he totaled 261 catches for 1,546 yards through five collegiate seasons with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2020-23) and USC Trojans (2024). He had his best season as a rusher (198/1133/9) last year.
WIDE RECEIVERS
| Player | Rec. | Yards | TD | Rush | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 93.7 | 1357.5 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226.4 |
| Jayden Higgins | 50.2 | 655.3 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 117.03 |
| Christian Kirk | 49.1 | 629.6 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 15.8 | 0.09 | 110.03 |
| Jaylin Noel | 23.3 | 271.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48.37 |
| Justin Watson | 3.8 | 53.9 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.69 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 2.1 | 22.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.46 |
| Braxton Berrios | 1.8 | 17.6 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.26 |
| WR Totals | 224 | 3007.2 | 17.4 | 2.2 | 15.8 | 0.09 | 519.24 |
Nico Collins: Collins has missed seven games over the past two seasons, but the now 26-year-old receiver has averaged 85.3 YPG (fifth best), 15.6 Y/R (eighth) and scored a total of 15 touchdowns (tied, 10th) over that span (among wide receivers with at least 100 targets). He has finished among the top three wide receivers in PFF's Y/RR metric in each of the past two seasons — 3.11 (second) in 2023 and 2.87 (third) in 2024, respectively. If Collins can stay healthy for a full season, the emerging superstar could truly make a jump into the top tier of fantasy receivers in 2025.
Jayden Higgins: The Texans drafted Higgins with the second pick of the second round (34th overall) and the 6-foot-4 wideout has garnered some comparisons to Nico Collins with early positive returns.
Christian Kirk: Optimism for Kirk's 2025 outlook was at its peak in the six-week window between NFL free agency and the NFL Draft when Kirk was the clear WR2 behind Collins. While it may not be until 2026 when Jaylin Noel takes over for Kirk in the slot, it's possible that Jayden Higgins (34th overall pick) outperforms Kirk, especially as the season progresses.
TIGHT ENDS
| Player | Rec. | Yards | TD | Rush | Yards | TD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz | 50.3 | 506.1 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.36 |
| Cade Stover | 15.9 | 148.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28.79 |
| TE Totals | 66.2 | 654.5 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 126.15 |
Dalton Schultz: Schultz has been a Texan for two seasons, both of C.J. Stroud's seasons, and he averaged 8.1 fantasy PPG in 2023 (TE11) and only 5.4 in 2024 (TE28). Outside of deep and/or TE-premium formats, Schultz is not much more than a relatively steady bye-week replacement who should remain undrafted this summer.