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Fantasy Football Start'Em, Sit'Em: Week 16

+ Updated: Thursday, December 24th


The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Jalen Hurts is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 16 with him as my starting quarterback.

Then again, Hurts may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Patrick Mahomes and Hurts, you should start Mahomes and, in turn, bench Hurts.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

[Note: This will be our final Start'em, Sit'em of 2020, but we will post Week 17 rankings.]

Week 16 Fantasy Football QB Start'em, Sit'em

Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles (at DAL)

Even better in the second NFL start of his career, Hurts finished Week 15 as fantasy's top-scoring quarterback (37.82). Hurts completed only 54.5% of his pass attempts against the Arizona Cardinals, but he threw for 338 yards (7.68 Y/A) and three touchdowns and added 11 carries for 63 yards and another score.

It was an unusual week as three quarterbacks scored at least 37 fantasy points, but there were zero 35-point performances in the previous five weeks (Weeks 10 to 14). In fact, there have been only nine 37-point performances all season.

Since becoming the starter in Week 14, only Lamar Jackson has scored more fantasy points than the second-round rookie out of Oklahoma (via Alabama). In addition, no quarterback has more rush attempts (29) or rush yards (169) in that two-game span.

As noted earlier, scoring 37 fantasy points is uncommon, so it would be unreasonable to expect better or even a repeat of last week's numbers.

That said, this week's matchup against the Dallas Cowboys offers little resistance when it comes to fantasy scoring. No team has allowed a higher TD% than the Cowboys (6.73%) and only five teams have a lower INT% (1.57%) this season.

+ Continue reading our Week 16 Fantasy Football QB Start'em, Sit'em

Week 16 Fantasy Football RB Sit'em, Sit'em

David Montgomery, Chicago Bears (at JAX)

In August, few fantasy managers were excited to draft Montgomery as their RB2. Closing out the (fantasy) season, those same fantasy managers are thrilled to have him on their rosters in December.

Over his past four games, the former Cyclone's worst (yes, worst) game was 22.8 fantasy points (half-PPR scoring). During that four-game span, he has finished as fantasy's weekly RB6, RB1, RB7 and RB1, respectively.

Exceeding 100 scrimmage yards and scoring in each of those games, the second-year back has racked up 571 yards from scrimmage, 13 receptions and six touchdowns. Even though Tennessee's Derrick Henry (102.3) edges him out in fantasy points scored over that stretch, Cleveland's Nick Chubb (RB3, 79.1) has more than 20 points less than Montgomery (99.6).

Facing the Jacksonville Jaguars this week, the matchup couldn't get much better for Montgomery.

The Jaguars have allowed the fourth-most fantasy poinst to opposing running backs this season. Game script should work in Montgomery's favor as the Bears are favored by a touchdown (plus) and have one of the week's top-eight implied totals. Not only has Jacksonville allowed three 100-yard rushing games since Week 12, Henry gashed them for 26/215/2 rushing just two weeks ago.

+ Continue reading our Week 16 Fantasy Football RB Start'em, Sit'em

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em, Sit'em

Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers (at ARI)

When he's been on the field, Aiyuk has been one of the most productive receivers in the NFL. The first-round rookie had nine catches for 73 yards and a touchdown on 13 targets against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 15. While he's missed a few games, Aiyuk's 73 yards were a six-game low.

In fact, Aiyuk has either surpassed the 100-yard mark or scored a touchdown in each of his past six games. During that stretch, he has averaged 7.5/94.7/0.7 on 11.7 targets per game and he's scored a minimum of 14.5 (half-PPR) fantasy points to finish no worse than WR20 in all six games. Not only does he have a minimum target share of 23.08% over that six-game span, but he has more than a 31.0% target share in back-to-back games and three of his past four.

Even though tight end George Kittle (foot) may return in Week 16, Deebo Samuel (hamstring) is expected to miss another week (or two). The Arizona Cardinals have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season.

+ Continue reading our Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Start'em, Sit'em

Week 16 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em, Sit'em

Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team (vs. CAR)

Since Week 6, Thomas has finished as a top-10 fantasy tight end in six of nine weeks. Since that point in the season, Thomas has scored the third-most fantasy points behind only Travis Kelce and Darren Waller.

Thomas has been consistent and performed well all season. In fact, Thomas is one of two tight ends (T.J. Hockenson is the other) with at least four targets in 14 games this season.

Over the past three weeks, however, Thomas has had two of his best games of the season. Last week against the Seattle Seahawks, Thomas had 13 catches for 101 yards on 15 targets, all of which were season highs. Thomas had 9/98/1 on nine targets against the Pittsburgh Steelers, the stingiest defense to opposing tight ends this season, in Week 13.

In his past three games, Thomas has averaged 9.3/80.7/0.3 on 10.3 targets per game. That compares to an average line of 3.1/29.8/0.4 on 5.5 targets per game from Weeks 1 to 12.

+ Continue reading our Week 16 Fantasy Football TE Start'em, Sit'em

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